Xinshoubikan five major factors influencing asphalt futures-guitarpro5

Xinshoubikan: five major factors influencing the flow of hot column asphalt futures funds thousand thousand shares of stock on the latest rating diagnosis simulated trading client Sina fund exposure table: the letter Phi lag of false propaganda, long-term performance is lower than similar products, to buy the fund by the pit how to do? Click [I want to complain], Sina help you expose them! The article comes from WeChat public letter treasure 1 season asphalt price volatility has obvious seasonal. Because asphalt needs to reach 100 degrees Celsius in order to have mobility, so the road construction works in the summer. Generally speaking, from 7 to October is the peak season of asphalt demand. The season of weak demand for asphalt is obvious: the rainy season and winter in the north of the Yangtze River are the low season of asphalt demand; the other is the peak season. The off-season price fluctuation, and the basic decline; season frequent price fluctuations, but the basic for the rally. 2 the rapid development of road construction has led to the rapid development of road asphalt market. As of the end of 12th Five-Year, China’s total mileage of highway planning will reach 139 thousand km. This stock shows the future road maintenance, maintenance, etc. can produce huge demand for asphalt. In addition, from 2012 to 2015 will be 44 thousand kilometers of new highways, an average annual increase of 11 thousand km. According to the 1000 ton kilometer asphalt consumption calculation, the annual incremental demand will reach 10 million tons of asphalt. 3 winter storage due to the temperature below zero can not be used for road construction of asphalt, so the asphalt market into the winter lack of terminal demand, prices will fall. As a result, there will be market participants to purchase asphalt storage at low prices, for the peak season for stocking or speculation. Annual winter storage generally started in November. Some market participants expect that in 2014 the fundamentals are not optimistic, winter storage prices to stabilize the main material, volatility will be further reduced. 4 crude oil price fluctuation is the residue of crude oil after crude oil distillation. Long term and international crude oil prices show a certain linkage. For the past 10 years (2004 to 2013) in the Yangtze River Delta of domestic heavy traffic asphalt price and Brent crude calculate simple regression model to price, Brent rose to $1 a barrel, asphalt prices rose 31.3 yuan per ton. After the adjustment of the exchange rate data, Brent rose 1 yuan, the wholesale price of asphalt in East China will rise by $4.80, the correlation coefficient of 75%. 5 there is an alternative production relationship between coke and asphalt production. The two are often obtained through decompression process, if not the production of coking production of asphalt material, if the production of coking material can produce asphalt, is a "shift" in the relationship. General Chamber of Commerce to profit oriented arrangements for the production of asphalt or coke. Spot asphalt expert Shi Lin pointed out that since November 1, 2012, the state began to impose a consumption tax on coking materials. The atmospheric residue is subject to tax costs, but the vacuum residue can be sold in the name of bitumen to evade taxes. This is also the production of asphalt manufacturers or the production of coke on the theory of相关的主题文章: